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Applying 'Moneyball' Methods To The NBA

You’re probably familiar with the Brad Pitt movie, “Moneyball” — or the book it was based on by Michael Lewis. The financially strapped Oakland A’s, unable to afford the best players, put together a successful team using data analysis.

Houston native and Rockets fan Muthu Alagappan is trying to do the same for basketball.

He’s a Stanford medical student and a math whiz with a dramatic argument: If you run the numbers, they show that the five basic positions in basketball don’t reflect how the game is played.

Both the Miami Heat and the Portland Trail Blazers have brought Alagappan on as a consultant, and Forbes puts him in the list of the 30 most influential people under age 30 in sports, along with the likes of six-time Olympic gold medalist Usain Bolt and Heat forward LeBron James.

Muthu Alagappan's 10 basketball positions

  1. Jump Shooting Ball-handler (Stephen Curry) Handles the ball while being a focal point of the offense through deadly jump shooting.
  2. Two-way All-star (Kobe Bryant) Elite offensive and defensive player, who can dominate the game on both ends of the court.
  3. Inside Outside Scorer (Chandler Parsons) Avoids the mid-range but scores often in the paint and from the three-point line.
  4. Mid-range Big-man (Al Jefferson) Skilled rebounder and paint defender who also has midrange jump shooting ability.
  5. Defensive Ball-handler (Kyle Lowry) Ballhandler that applies defensive pressure and looks to get his teammates involved on offense.
  6. 3-Point Ball-handler (Klay Thompson) Ballhandler who features an offensive arsenal highlighted by 3-point shooting.
  7. 3-Point Specialist (Shane Battier) Role player who’s offensive role is almost solely to shoot 3-pointers.
  8. Low-usage Ball-handler (Courtney Lee) Ball-handler who can fit in to various roles on a team but lacks a clear identity.
  9. Paint Protector (Larry Sanders) Menacing interior defender that protects the rim and deters opponents from driving to the basket.
  10. Scoring Rebounders (Tim Duncan) Big man who serves as a team’s primary scorer and also rebounds with consistency.


 

Muthu Alagappan’s TEDx Talk in April 2013:

Read More

Slate “As someone who grew up on Bill James, I love statistical analysis, but such analysis is only valuable when it tells us something new and true about the game in question. If there is such illumination to be found in  ‘From 5 to 13,’ I haven’t seen it.”

Mercury News “Khosla said that Obama was particularly intrigued that their proposed redefinition of positions underscored why it worked fine when, say, two traditional small forwards were on the floor at the same time.”

Guest:

Copyright 2021 NPR. To see more, visit https://www.npr.org.

Statistical map of 10 basketball positions, courtesy of Ayasdi and Muthu Alagappan.
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Statistical map of 10 basketball positions, courtesy of Ayasdi and Muthu Alagappan.